FEAF
2379 · 截至 2026-11-13 · 除另有說明外為百萬新台幣 · 自動計算 · 建立於 2026-11-14T10:01:43Z

RT

市價
758 NTD
本頁為研究分析,並非買賣建議。在台灣提供自動化投資建議須取得金管會核准;FEAF 負責分析、說明與監控,決策由投資人自行做出。判斷門檻為暫定規則,待團隊財務成員審核。
評價分析 · 2379

以目前股價 758 元計算,市場價格隱含自由現金流每年永續成長 -0.11%(折現率 WACC 為 5.95%,成長上限 3.50%)。

市價
758 NTD
截至 2026-11-13
市場隱含的永續成長率
-0.11%
永續成長上限(名目 GDP): 3.50%
WACC
5.95%
Beta(2 年週報酬對加權指數): 0.83
FCFF 2025
21.0
十億

企業價值橋接

市值0.391 兆
+ 付息負債0.010 兆
− 現金及短期投資0.055 兆
= 企業價值0.346 兆

資金成本

權益資金成本6.08%
負債資金成本1.17%
權益權重97.48%
WACC 5.95%
有效稅率14.53%
Beta(2 年週報酬對加權指數) Beta 0.83(與加權指數共 104 週配對)

自由現金流量

FCFF 2023 15.9 十億
FCFF 2024 21.8 十億
FCFF 2025 ← 採用 21.0 十億
平均 19.6 十億

Reverse DCF

市場隱含的永續成長率 -0.11%
永續成長上限(名目 GDP) 3.50%
循環檢查 偏差 0.00e+00%

反向 DCF 不會產生內在價值。將其 g 代回同一公式必然得到市價,這是數學恆等式,而非評價。真正的判斷在下一步:這個數字合理嗎?

敏感度 · 每股合理價值(新台幣)

WACCg = 2.50%g = 3.00%g = 3.50%g = 4.00%g = 4.50%
4.95% 1,791 2,238 2,993 4,540 9,507
5.45% 1,502 1,799 2,248 3,007 4,561
5.95% 1,297 1,509 1,808 2,259 3,021
6.45% 1,144 1,303 1,516 1,816 2,269
6.95% 1,025 1,149 1,309 1,523 1,824

中間列為依輸入檔計算的 WACC;中間欄為隱含 g。本頁所有數字皆直接來自 scripts/dcf.py,與命令列工作表使用同一函式,兩者不會在不知不覺中產生差異。

資料說明與調整

i FinMind 未單獨揭露一年內到期長期負債;計入的負債可能偏低。

各項輸入的來源

✓ price_per_share TWSE OpenAPI daily closing quote (https://openapi.twse.com.tw/v1/exchangeReport/STOCK_DAY_ALL), closing price NT$758.00 on 2026-11-13
✓ shares_issued_thousands TWSE OpenAPI company profile (https://openapi.twse.com.tw/v1/opendata/t187ap03_L), issued common shares 515,512,641 shares ÷ 1,000
✓ balance_sheet FinMind TaiwanStockBalanceSheet (https://api.finmindtrade.com/api/v4/data, stock_id=2379, date=2025-12-31): CashAndCashEquivalents=13,065.9M; short_term_investments (FinancialAssetsAtAmortizedCost)=41,496.4M; short_term_borrowings (ShorttermBorrowings)=10,090.0M; long_term_debt (none)=0.0M; current_portion_lt_debt (folded into OtherCurrentLiabilities in FinMind)=0.0M. Official MOPS source: https://mopsov.twse.com.tw/mops/web/ajax_t164sb03?encodeURIComponent=1&step=1&firstin=1&off=1&queryName=co_id&inpuType=co_id&TYPEK=all&isnew=false&co_id=2379&year=114&season=04
✓ cash_flow FinMind TaiwanStockCashFlowsStatement (https://api.finmindtrade.com/api/v4/data, stock_id=2379, dates=2023-12-31, 2024-12-31, 2025-12-31, cumulative YTD as of Dec 31): cfo=CashFlowsFromOperatingActivities, capex=abs(PropertyAndPlantAndEquipment), interest=(2023:InterestExpense, 2024:InterestExpense, 2025:InterestExpense). Official MOPS source: https://mopsov.twse.com.tw/mops/web/ajax_t164sb05?encodeURIComponent=1&step=1&firstin=1&off=1&queryName=co_id&inpuType=co_id&TYPEK=all&isnew=false&co_id=2379&year=114&season=04
✓ tax FinMind TaiwanStockFinancialStatements (https://api.finmindtrade.com/api/v4/data, stock_id=2379, sum of 4 single quarters in FY2025: 2025-03-31, 2025-06-30, 2025-09-30, 2025-12-31): TAX=2,507.2M, PreTaxIncome=17,260.5M. Official MOPS source: https://mopsov.twse.com.tw/mops/web/ajax_t164sb04?encodeURIComponent=1&step=1&firstin=1&off=1&queryName=co_id&inpuType=co_id&TYPEK=all&isnew=false&co_id=2379&year=114&season=04
✓ risk_free_rate Taiwan 10-year government bond yield (~1.94%): https://ca.investing.com/rates-bonds/taiwan-10-year-bond-yield-historical-data
✓ beta TWSE/TPEx official daily close 2y weekly regression (2379 (TWSE) vs TAIEX, 104 weeks: 2024-W45..2026-W46) — https://www.twse.com.tw/rwd/zh/afterTrading/STOCK_DAY?stockNo=2379 & https://www.twse.com.tw/rwd/zh/TAIEX/MI_5MINS_HIST
✓ equity_risk_premium Damodaran country equity risk premium, Taiwan (~5.01%): https://pages.stern.nyu.edu/adamodar/New_Home_Page/datafile/ctryprem.html
✓ terminal_growth_ceiling Taiwan long-run nominal GDP growth projection (~3.5%, DGBAS / IMF WEO)